Death by Market Power: Reform, Competition, and Patient Outcomes in the National Health Service

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8203

Authors: Martin Gaynor; Rodrigo Morenoserra; Carol Propper

Abstract: The effect of competition on the quality of health care remains a contested issue. Most empirical estimates rely on inference from non experimental data. In contrast, this paper exploits a pro-competitive policy reform to provide estimates of the impact of competition on hospital outcomes. The English government introduced a policy in 2006 to promote competition between hospitals. Patients were given choice of location for hospital care and provided information on the quality and timeliness of care. Prices, previously negotiated between buyer and seller, were set centrally under a DRG type system. Using this policy to implement a difference-in-differences research design we estimate the impact of the introduction of competition on not only clinical outcomes but also productivity and expenditure. Our data set is large, containing information on approximately 68,000 discharges per year per hospital from 160 hospitals. We find that the effect of competition is to save lives without raising costs. Patients discharged from hospitals located in markets where competition was more feasible were less likely to die, had shorter length of stay and were treated at the same cost.

Keywords: competition; hospitals; quality

JEL Codes: I11; I18; L13; L32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Introduction of competition in the NHS (L33)Improved hospital quality (I19)
10-point increase in HHI (L19)2.46% increase in AMI death rate (I12)
10-point fall in HHI (D43)0.25-day reduction in length of stay (C41)
Hospitals in less concentrated markets (I11)Significant reduction in mortality rates post-reform (I14)
Policy change (D78)No evidence of increased resource utilization or expenditure (H59)

Back to index