Which Terror at Which Cost: On the Economic Consequences of Terrorist Attacks

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8077

Authors: Fernanda Lluss; Jos Tavares

Abstract: We assess the cost of different types of terrorist attacks on the growth of output and of its components. Private Consumption and Investment are significantly and negatively affected by all terror indicators, and the largest impact is respectively associated with the number of victims or the number of attacks.

Keywords: Consumption; Government Expenditure; Investment; Output Growth; Terrorism

JEL Codes: C23; E32; E62; E65


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
number of victims killed (Y50)private consumption growth (E20)
number of attacks (H56)investment growth (E20)
attacks on civilians (H56)economic growth (O49)
number of attacks (H56)private consumption growth (E20)
number of casualties (H84)private consumption growth (E20)
number of casualties (H84)investment growth (E20)

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