Conflicts of Interest, Reputation and the Interwar Debt Crisis: Banksters or Bad Luck?

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP7705

Authors: Marc Flandreau; Norbert Gaillard; Ugo Panizza

Abstract: This paper builds a new dataset with detailed information on the universe of foreign government bonds issued in New York in the 1920s and uses these data to describe the behavior of the financial intermediaries which operated in the New York market during the period leading to the interwar debt crisis. The paper starts by showing that concerns over reputation played an important role in intermediaries? underwriting choices. Next, the paper checks whether banks managed to charge abnormal underwriting fees on bonds that would eventually default and finds no evidence of such practice ("banksterism"). The paper concludes by discussing some parallels between the experience of the 1920s and the current debate on the "originate and distribute" model.

Keywords: conflicts of interest; debt crises; reputation

JEL Codes: F34; G14; G15; G18


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
underwriter prestige (G24)bond default rates (E43)
less prestigious houses (R21)bond default rates (E43)
prestigious underwriters (G24)fees from borrowers (G21)
prestige among financial intermediaries (G29)conflicts of interest (G34)

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