Finite State Dynamic Games with Asymmetric Information: A Framework for Applied Work

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP7323

Authors: Chaim Fershtman; Ariel Pakes

Abstract: With applied work in mind, we define an equilibrium notion for dynamic games with asymmetric information which does not require a specification for players' beliefs about their opponent types. This enables us to define equilibrium conditions which, at least in principal, are testable and can be computed using a simple reinforcement learning algorithm. We conclude with an example that endogenizes the maintenance decisions for electricity generators in a dynamic game among electric utilities in which the costs states of the generators are private information.

Keywords: Applied Markov Equilibrium; Dynamic Games; Dynamic Oligopoly

JEL Codes: C63; C73; L13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Equilibrium notion for dynamic games with asymmetric information (C73)Computation of equilibria using a reinforcement learning algorithm (C73)
Players' actions (Z22)Their own and others' profits (D33)
Players' actions (Z22)Future payoffs (G19)
State variables evolution over time (C32)Future payoffs (G19)
Reinforcement learning algorithm (C73)Approximation of players' behavior in a dynamic setting (C73)
Past experiences of players in the game (Z22)Learning of players (Z22)

Back to index