The EU-US Total Factor Productivity Gap: An Industry Level Perspective

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP7237

Authors: Kieran McMorrow; Werner Röger; Alessandro Antonio Turrini

Abstract: The EU-US total factor productivity (TFP) growth gap since the mid-1990's is concentrated in a handful of market service industries (most notably retail trade) and in ICT-producing manufacturing, whilst the EU exhibits a stronger performance in a number of the network utilities. This paper explores the industry-specific determinants of the EU-US TFP growth gap using the EU KLEMS database. As found in previous analyses (e.g., Nicoletti and Scarpetta (2003); Griffith, Redding, and Van Reenen (2004); Inklaar, Timmer and Van Ark (2008)), TFP growth appears to be driven by catching-up phenomena associated with the gradual adoption of new-vintage technologies. Compared with previous analyses, TFP growth is also significantly driven by developments taking place at the "technological frontier," increasingly so since the mid-1990's. Industries with higher R&D expenditures and higher adoption rates for ICT-intensive technologies appear to exhibit higher TFP growth rates, whilst human capital has mostly a significant effect across countries. Regarding industry specific determinants, ICT producing industries appear to benefit from R&D in terms of stronger spillovers from TFP gains at the frontier; network utilities are strongly affected by improvements associated with reduced product market regulations; whilst the retail trade industry is significantly influenced by consumption dynamics which permit a better exploitation of scale economies.

Keywords: European Union; Growth; Determinants; Total Factor Productivity

JEL Codes: D24; O47; O52


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
R&D expenditures (O32)TFP growth (O49)
Technology adoption (O33)TFP growth (O49)
Human capital (J24)TFP growth (O49)
Reduced product market regulations (L50)Network utilities (L90)
Consumption dynamics (E21)TFP growth (O49)

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