The Productivity Advantages of Large Cities: Distinguishing Agglomeration from Firm Selection

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP7191

Authors: Pierre-Philippe Combes; Gilles Duranton; Laurent Gobillon; Diego Puga; Sébastien Roux

Abstract: Firms are more productive on average in larger cities. Two explanations have been offered: agglomeration economies (larger cities promote interactions that increase productivity) and firm selection (larger cities toughen competition allowing only the most productive to survive). To distinguish between them, we nest a generalised version of a seminal firm selection model and a standard model of agglomeration. Stronger selection in larger cities left-truncates the productivity distribution whereas stronger agglomeration right-shifts and dilates the distribution. We assess the relative importance of agglomeration and firm selection using French establishment-level data and a new quantile approach. Spatial productivity differences in France are mostly explained by agglomeration.

Keywords: Agglomeration; Cities; Firm Selection; Productivity

JEL Codes: C52; D24; R12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
stronger selection effects in larger cities (R23)left truncation of the productivity distribution (D39)
stronger agglomeration effects (R11)rightward shift in the productivity distribution (D39)
agglomeration economies (R11)enhanced productivity (O49)
firm selection (L10)survival of the most productive firms (D21)
larger cities (R12)higher productivity of firms and workers (O49)
agglomeration (R11)productivity differences in metropolitan areas (R12)
selection effects (C52)productivity differences in metropolitan areas (R12)

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