Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP6745
Authors: Christoph Moser; Dieter M. Urban; Beatrice Weder di Mauro
Abstract: This study investigates the impact of international competitiveness on net employment, job creation, job destruction, and gross job flows for a representative sample of German establishments from 1993 to 2005. We find a statistically significant but economically small effect of real exchange rate shocks on employment, comparable to the one found in studies for the United States. However, contrary to the United States, the employment adjustment (among surviving firms) operates mainly through the job creation rather than the job destruction rate. Job destruction occurs essentially through discrete events such as restructuring, outsourcing and bankruptcy. We suggest that these findings are consistent with a highly regulated labour market, in which smooth adjustment is costly and possibly delayed.
Keywords: attrition estimator; gross worker flows; international competitiveness; inverse probability weighted GMM; real exchange rate
JEL Codes: F16; F40
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| real exchange rate (F31) | net job flows (F29) |
| international competitiveness (F23) | employment levels (J23) |
| net job flows (F29) | job creation rates (J68) |
| job creation rates (J68) | job destruction rates (J63) |
| labor market regulations (J48) | employment dynamics (J63) |
| firm survival (L21) | employment dynamics (J63) |