Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP6509
Authors: Fernanda Lluss; Jos Tavares
Abstract: In this paper we organize the literature on the economics of terrorism around seven different topics, offering a comprehensive view of the literature with a view to identifying questions that remain unanswered. The chosen topic areas are: The Measurement of Terrorist Activity, The Nature of Terrorists, The Utility Cost of Terrorism, The Impact of Terrorism on Aggregate Output, Terrorism and Specific Sectors of Activity, Terrorism and Economic Policy, and Counter-Terrorism. In a sense, we proceed from measurement issues to studies of the characteristics of terrorists and terrorist organizations, the consequences of terrorism on individual utility and, aggregate output and on specific sectors of activity, as well as the impact of terrorism on fiscal and monetary policies. We conclude with an examination of the economics literature on counter-terrorism measures. For each of the topics above, we present what the literature has achieved, the important questions that remain open and the type of data that would help researchers make progress. In our discussion, we identify the main papers in the literature and the issue(s) where each made a contribution, presenting a brief individual summary for these papers, organized along the topic areas.
Keywords: counterterrorism; economics of terrorism; nature of terrorists; output costs; utility costs
JEL Codes: A12; D10; E20; H00; K00; O11
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Terrorist attacks (H56) | Aggregate economic output (E23) |
| Terrorist attacks (H56) | Individual utility (D11) |
| Terrorist events (H84) | Economic growth (O49) |
| Increased public spending on security (H56) | Economic growth (O49) |
| Decreased consumer confidence (D12) | Economic growth (O49) |
| Terrorist attacks (H56) | Psychological impacts (fear and uncertainty) (E71) |
| Psychological impacts (fear and uncertainty) (E71) | Individual well-being (I31) |
| Nature of terrorist organizations (D73) | Economic impacts (F69) |