Strong Goal Independence and Inflation Targets

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5915

Authors: Ernst Baltensperger; Andreas M. Fischer; Thomas J. Jordan

Abstract: Inflation targeting has become the monetary policy framework of the nineties. At the other extreme, several central banks have recently adopted key elements of the inflation targeter's toolkit, but at the same time they have made formal declarations that they are not inflation targeters. Such a position may appear surprising. It indirectly suggests that a reneging strategy is beneficial for some. The paper considers reasons why it may be advantageous for some central banks to distinguish themselves from the inflation targeting strategy. Most importantly, we argue that explicit inflation targets can potentially undermine the goal independence of a central bank.

Keywords: inflation targeting; goal independence; monetary policy

JEL Codes: E50; E52; E58


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
goal independence (L21)inflation targets (E31)
goal independence (L21)monetary framework (E42)
inflation targets (E31)goal independence (L21)
goal independence (L21)response to macroeconomic shocks (E39)

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