Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5872
Authors: Arne Uhlendorff; Klaus F. Zimmermann
Abstract: Unemployment rates are often higher for migrants than for natives. This could result from longer periods of unemployment as well as from shorter periods of employment. This paper jointly examines male native-migrant differences in the duration of unemployment and subsequent employment using German panel data and bivariate discrete time hazard rate models. Compared to natives with the same observable and unobservable characteristics, unemployed migrants do not find less stable positions but they need more time to find these jobs. The probability of leaving unemployment also varies strongly between ethnicities, while first and second generation Turks are identified as the major problem group. Therefore, policy should concentrate on the job finding process of Turkish migrants to fight their disadvantages on the labour market.
Keywords: bivariate hazard rate models; employment stability; ethnicity; migration; unemployment duration
JEL Codes: C41; J61; J64
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Migrants (F22) | Longer durations of unemployment (J64) |
| Turkish migrants (F22) | Hazard rate from unemployment to employment (C41) |
| Migrants securing employment (J61) | Job stability (J63) |
| Probability of leaving unemployment (J64) | Ethnicity (J15) |
| Economic disadvantages among migrants (F24) | Performance of Turkish ethnic group (J15) |