Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5739
Authors: Anne Gielen; Jan C. van Ours
Abstract: In a dynamic labor market worker-firm matches dissolve frequently causing workers to separate and firms to look for replacements. A separation may be initiated by the worker (a quit) or the firm (a layoff), or may result from a joint decision. A dissolution of a worker-firm match may be inefficient if it can be prevented by wage renegotiation. In this paper we study worker separations in the Dutch labor market. From an analysis of matched worker-firm data we conclude that both quits and layoffs are less likely to occur in high quality matches. We also find that workers with a high propensity to quit are offered higher wages to prevent them to quit. Similarly, workers with a high layoff probability give up some of their wage to prevent them from being laid-off. Despite these wage renegotiations some inefficiency in separations remains. However, there is a clear difference between quits and layoffs. Whereas inefficient quits are rare inefficient layoffs occur frequently. These phenomena may be related to downward wage rigidity. While it is easy to renegotiate higher wages to prevent quits it is much more difficult to renegotiate lower wages to prevent layoffs even if that would overall be beneficial to the workers involved.
Keywords: layoffs; matched worker-firm dataset; quits; separations
JEL Codes: J31; J63; M51
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| joint match-specific surplus (C78) | worker separations (J63) |
| match quality (C52) | separation rates (J12) |
| wage renegotiations (J52) | worker separations (J63) |
| high quit probabilities (C25) | wage renegotiations (J52) |
| inefficient layoffs (J63) | wage renegotiations (J52) |
| match surplus (H62) | quits (J63) |
| match surplus (H62) | layoffs (J63) |