Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5498
Authors: David A. Jaeger; M. Daniele Paserman
Abstract: In this study we extend our previous work to examine the dynamic relationship between violence committed by Palestinian factions and that committed by Israel during the Second Intifada. We find a statistically significant relationship between Israeli fatalities claimed by groups associated with the ruling political party, Fatah, and subsequent Palestinian fatalities. We do not find a similar relationship for Israeli fatalities claimed by Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and other Palestinian factions. We conjecture that these differences are due to the different positions of the factions vis-à-vis bargaining over a two-state solution to the conflict as well as the organizational structures of the factions.
Keywords: bargaining; conflict resolution; intifada; terrorism; violence
JEL Codes: C32; D71; D74; H56
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Israeli fatalities claimed by Fatah (F51) | subsequent Palestinian fatalities (Y50) |
| Israeli fatalities claimed by Hamas (H56) | subsequent Palestinian fatalities (Y50) |
| Israeli fatalities claimed by PIJ (H56) | subsequent Palestinian fatalities (Y50) |