Leniency Policies and Illegal Transactions

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5442

Authors: Paolo Buccirossi; Giancarlo Spagnolo

Abstract: We study the consequences of leniency - reduced legal sanctions for wrongdoers who spontaneously self-report to law enforcers - on sequential, bilateral, illegal transactions such as corruption, manager-auditor collusion, or drug deals. It is known that leniency helps to deter illegal relationships sustained by repeated interaction. Here we find that - when not properly designed - leniency may simultaneously provide an effective governance mechanism for occasional sequential illegal transactions that would not be feasible in its absence.

Keywords: amnesty; collusion; corruption; financial fraud; governance; hold up; hostages; illegal trade; immunity; law enforcement; leniency; organized crime; self-reporting; whistleblowers

JEL Codes: D73; G38; K21; K42; M42


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
leniency policies (K40)illegal transactions (K42)
poorly designed leniency (K40)governance mechanism for illegal transactions (P37)
leniency (K21)credible threats (D74)
credible threats (D74)compliance (K40)
leniency policies (K40)deterrence of long-term criminal relationships (K42)
leniency must not reduce fine below expected full fine (K40)implementable illegal transactions (K42)
leniency must not reward above maximum expected gain (D81)implementable illegal transactions (K42)

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