Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP5255
Authors: Teresa Lloyd-Braga; Carine Nourry; Alain Venditti
Abstract: In this paper, we consider an aggregate overlapping generations model with endogenous labour, consumption in both periods of life, homothetic preferences and productive external effects coming from the average capital and labour. We show that under realistic calibrations of the parameters, in particular a large enough share of first period consumption over the wage income, local indeterminacy of equilibria cannot occur with capital externalities alone but that it can occur when there are only, however small, labour externalities. More precisely, under gross substitutability, the existence of multiple equilibria requires a large enough elasticity of capital-labour substitution and a large enough elasticity of the labour supply. We also show that if labour externalities are slightly stronger and the elasticity of labour supply is larger, local indeterminacy occurs in a Cobb-Douglas economy. Finally, we show that, as a consequence of our restriction on first period consumption, a locally indeterminate steady state is generically characterized by an under-accumulation of capital. It follows therefore that while agents live over a finite number of periods, the conditions for the existence of locally indeterminate equilibria are very similar to those obtained within infinite horizon models and that from this point of view, Diamond meets Ramsey.
Keywords: capital and labour externalities; endogenous cycles; endogenous labour supply; indeterminacy; overlapping generations; under accumulation
JEL Codes: C62; E32; O41
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| labor externalities (J49) | local indeterminacy (D89) |
| capital externalities (D62) | local indeterminacy (D89) |
| elasticity of capital-labor substitution + labor supply elasticity (J20) | local indeterminacy (D89) |
| stronger labor externalities + larger elasticity of labor supply (J49) | local indeterminacy (D89) |
| under-accumulation of capital (E22) | locally indeterminate steady state (C62) |
| conditions for indeterminacy in finite horizon models (C62) | conditions for indeterminacy in infinite horizon models (C62) |