Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP4931
Authors: Moshe Hazan; Hosny Zoabi
Abstract: This article challenges conventional wisdom by arguing that greater longevity cannot explain the significant accumulation of human capital during the transition from stagnation to growth. This is because greater longevity raises children?s future income proportionally at all levels of education, leaving the relative return between quality and quantity unaffected. This result is consistent with historical evidence that longevity began to increase long before education did. Our theory also casts doubts on recent findings about a positive effect of health on education. This is because health raises the marginal return on quality and quantity, resulting in an ambiguous effect on the accumulation of human capital. We conclude that longevity and health have had a minor effect, if any, on the transition from stagnation to growth via investment in education.
Keywords: education; fertility; growth; health; longevity
JEL Codes: I10; I20; J10; O11; O40
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| greater longevity (D15) | education investment (I22) |
| greater longevity (D15) | future income (J17) |
| future income (J17) | education investment (I22) |
| health improvements (I14) | education investment (I22) |
| health improvements (I14) | marginal returns on education and fertility (I26) |
| longevity (C41) | transition from stagnation to growth via education (O49) |