Do Elections Always Motivate Incumbents? Learning versus Reelection Concerns

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP4664

Authors: Eric Le Borgne; Ben Lockwood

Abstract: This Paper studies a principal-agent model of the relationship between officeholder and an electorate, where everyone is initially uninformed about the officeholder?s ability. If office-holder effort and ability interact in the determination of performance in office, then an office-holder has an incentive to learn, i.e., raise effort so that performance becomes a more accurate signal of their ability. Elections reduce the learning effect, and the reduction in this effect may more than offset the positive ?re-election concerns? effect of elections on effort, implying higher effort with appointment. When this occurs, appointment of officials may welfare-dominate elections.

Keywords: Career concerns; Citizen-candidate; Effort; Elections; Incomplete information; Learning

JEL Codes: D72; D78; H41; J44; J45


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Elections (K16)lower effort (D29)
Learning incentive (I24)effort (D29)
Risk of losing office (D72)learning incentive (G53)
Elections (K16)learning incentive (G53)
Learning incentive + Reelection concerns (D72)overall effort (D29)

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