The Severity of the Colombian Conflict: Cross-Country Datasets versus New Micro Data

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP4571

Authors: Jorge Restrepo; Michael Spagat; Juan F. Vargas

Abstract: We compare the treatment of Colombia in large cross-country conflict datasets with the information of the detailed micro dataset of Restrepo, Spagat and Vargas (2003). We find a general tendency of the big datasets to underestimate the magnitude of the Colombian conflict and to mischaracterize its dynamics. We suggest that conflict researchers should prioritize the construction of more micro datasets that will facilitate detailed studies of conflict intensity and its dynamics.

Keywords: Colombia; Conflict; Cross-Country Datasets

JEL Codes: C80; D74


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Cross-country datasets (C55)Underestimate magnitude of Colombian conflict (F51)
Differences in definitions and methodologies (C80)Underestimate magnitude of Colombian conflict (F51)
Cross-country datasets (C55)Estimated conflict intensity as measured by RSV (D74)
RSV (Y60)Estimated conflict intensity (D74)

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