The Other Side of the Moon: The Data Problem in Analyzing Growth Determinants

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP4349

Authors: Randall K. Filer; Dana Hajkova; Jan Hanousek

Abstract: Replication of two recent studies of growth determinants shows that results are sensitive to the choice of data from which growth rates are calculated, especially with respect to whether economic convergence has occurred. Previous warnings against using data that has been adjusted to increase cross-country comparability to study within-country patterns over time (growth rates) have been largely ignored at the cost of possibly contaminating the conclusions.

Keywords: growth; measurement

JEL Codes: C82; O47


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
choice of data source (Y10)measured growth rates (O41)
different data sources (IFS and PWT) (Y10)opposite signs in GDP growth (E20)
using domestic prices (P22)lack of convergence (F62)
adjustments for cross-country comparability (O57)distort within-country growth patterns (O57)
data source used for growth rates (Y10)relationship between income inequality and growth (F62)
complex adjustments (F32)distort understanding of growth determinants (O11)

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