Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP4120
Authors: Gerard J. van den Berg; A. Gijsbert C. van Lomwel; Jan C. van Ours
Abstract: In this Paper we simultaneously analyse transitions from unemployment to employment and to non-participation. We estimate a dependent competing risks model with non-parametric specifications of the destination-specific duration dependence and unobserved heterogeneity terms, allowing for mutual dependence of the unobserved heterogeneity terms. We use a unique population data set of French unemployment over the period 1988-94, stratified by gender type, duration class and exit state.
Keywords: duration dependence; exit rate; hazard rate; nonparticipation; unobserved heterogeneity
JEL Codes: C41; J64
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| unobserved heterogeneity (C21) | transition from unemployment to employment (J68) |
| unobserved heterogeneity (C21) | transition from unemployment to nonparticipation (J68) |
| destination-specific duration dependence (C41) | transition from unemployment to employment (J68) |
| destination-specific duration dependence (C41) | transition from unemployment to nonparticipation (J68) |