Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3981
Authors: Joseph Francois; Gunnar Niels
Abstract: Antidumping actions in the United States and EU are known to be linked to macroeconomic conditions. In part, this is because positive injury findings may be easier to make in a downturn. We explore the evidence for Mexico, one of the main ?new? antidumping-using countries. Injury determination is also critical in Mexico?s antidumping policy, as a majority of unsuccessful complaints have been rejected because of negative injury findings rather than negative findings of dumping. Working with data from 1987 through 2000, we provide evidence for a relationship between macro-economic factors and antidumping complaints, including current account and exchange rate movements, and both local and global general macroeconomic conditions.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: F10; F13
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| real exchange rate appreciates (F31) | increase in antidumping complaints (F18) |
| worsening of current account balance (F32) | increase in antidumping complaints (F18) |
| slowdown in domestic manufacturing output (O14) | increase in antidumping complaints (F18) |
| high number of complaints in previous periods (L97) | decrease in new complaints in subsequent periods (C41) |