Are We Better Off If Our Politicians Have More Information?

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3884

Authors: Johan Lagerlf

Abstract: This Paper studies a model of public policy with heterogeneous citizens/voters and two public goods: one (roads) is chosen directly by an elected policy-maker, and the other (pollution) depends stochastically on the amount of roads. Both a one-country and a two-country version of the model are analysed, the latter displaying externalities across the countries, which creates incentives for free-riding and strategic delegation. The welfare effects of providing the policy-maker with information about the relationship between roads and pollution are investigated, and it is shown that more information hurts some ? sometimes even all ? citizens. In particular, the opportunity not to build an institution for information gathering can serve as a commitment device for a country, although with the unfortunate effect of making the overall outcome even worse. Implications for the welfare effects of ?informational lobbying? are discussed.

Keywords: informational lobbying; interest groups; public information acquisition; strategic delegation; value of information; welfare

JEL Codes: D69; D78; D89


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
providing the policymaker with more information about the relationship between roads and pollution (R48)hurts some citizens (H84)
more information increases ex ante uncertainty (D89)adversely affects citizens with concave utility functions (D11)
higher quality signal about the relationship between roads and pollution (R41)more variability in the policymaker's decision-making process regarding road construction (R42)
more variability in the policymaker's decision-making process regarding road construction (R42)reduces ex post uncertainty (D81)
more variability in the policymaker's decision-making process regarding road construction (R42)results in a net negative effect on the welfare of citizens who prioritize pollution less than roads (D62)
majority of citizens in one country prefer their own policymaker to remain uninformed if the other country's policymaker is informed (F52)anticipates increase in ex ante uncertainty (D84)
strategic delegation problem (C78)citizens may prefer to limit information access to avoid adverse welfare outcomes (D89)

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