A Pure Theory of Job Security and Labour Income Risk

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3430

Authors: Giuseppe Bertola

Abstract: Models of labour market equilibrium where forward-looking decisions maximize both profits and labour income on a risk-neutral basis, offer valuable insights into the effects of employment protection legislation. Since risk-neutral behaviour in the labour market presumes perfect insurance, however, job security provisions play no useful role in such models. This Paper studies a stylized model of dynamic labour market interactions where labour reallocation costs are partly financed by uninsured workers? consumption flows. In the resulting second-best equilibrium, provisions that shift labour reallocation costs to risk-neutral employers can increase productive efficiency if their administrative deadweight costs are not too large, and increase workers? welfare as long as employers? firing costs at least partly finance workers? mobility.

Keywords: Income distribution; Labour market institutions

JEL Codes: D30; D60


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
employment protection legislation (EPL) (K31)employment stability (J63)
employment protection legislation (EPL) (K31)firing costs (J32)
employment protection legislation (EPL) (K31)productive efficiency (D24)
employment protection legislation (EPL) (K31)worker welfare (J38)

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