Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3414
Authors: Suleyman Basak; Anna Pavlova
Abstract: This Paper develops a continuous-time two-sector model to study the economic effects of an import quota during the period of time over which it is imposed. One of the sectors is protected by a quota, which in our set-up manifests itself as an integral constraint on the flow of imports of the protected commodity. In sharp contrast to the existing literature, our small open economy exhibits distinctly different economic behaviour depending on whether the country is importing the protected good, exporting it or refraining from trade in it. The domestic price of the protected good exceeds the world price in import and no-trade regions, even when the quota is underutilized ? in contrast, existing work predicts no economic effects of a quota unless it is binding. Within a general equilibrium world economy consisting of one quota-constrained and one unconstrained country, under logarithmic preferences, the constrained country becomes wealthier at the expense of the unconstrained. Moreover, the stock price of the protected industry increases in the quota-constrained and decreases in the unconstrained country.
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Integral Constraints; International Economics; Finance; Quota
JEL Codes: D51; F13; F30; F40; G12
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Import Quota (F14) | Domestic Price (P22) |
| Import Quota (F14) | Consumption Behavior (D10) |
| Quota Constraint (D45) | Domestic Price Exceeds World Price (F14) |
| Quota Constraint (D45) | Stock Price of Protected Industry (L11) |
| Quota Constraint (D45) | Redistribution of Wealth (H23) |
| Cumulative Imports (F14) | Consumption Decisions (D12) |
| Severity of Quota Constraint (H72) | Consumption Decisions (D12) |