Benefit Entitlement and Unemployment Duration: The Role of Policy Endogeneity

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3363

Authors: Rafael Lalive; Josef Zweimüller

Abstract: The potential duration of benefits is generally viewed as an important determinant of unemployment duration. This Paper evaluates a unique policy change that prolonged entitlement to regular unemployment benefits from 30 weeks to a maximum of 209 weeks for elderly individuals in certain regions of Austria. In the evaluation, we explicitly account for the fact that the programme was an endogenous policy response to a crisis affecting individuals with severe labour market problems. The main results are: (i) REBP reduced the transition rate to jobs by 17 %; (ii) accounting for endogenous policy adoption is important and quantitatively significant.

Keywords: benefit entitlement; maximum benefit duration; policy endogeneity; quasiexperiments; unemployment duration; unemployment insurance

JEL Codes: C41; J64; J65


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
extended benefit entitlement (rebp) (H55)reduced transition rate to jobs (J63)
endogenous policy adoption (F68)biased estimates of the effect of benefit entitlement on unemployment duration (C41)

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