Nonlinear Equilibrium Correction in US Real Money Balances 1869-1997

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3249

Authors: Lucio Sarno; Mark P. Taylor; David Peel

Abstract: Several theoretical models of money demand imply non-linear functional forms for the aggregate demand for money characterized by smooth adjustment towards long-run equilibrium. In this Paper, we propose a non-linear equilibrium correction model of US money demand, which is shown to be stable over the sample period from 1869 to 1997.

Keywords: Adjustment Costs; Demand for Money; Equilibrium Correction; Nonlinear Dynamics

JEL Codes: E41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Nonlinear equilibrium correction model (C62)Adjustment of money demand towards long-run equilibrium (E41)
Size of deviation from equilibrium (D50)Speed of adjustment of money balances (E41)
Failure to account for nonlinearities (C22)Challenges in obtaining stable money demand equations (E41)

Back to index