An African Success Story: Botswana

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3219

Authors: Daron Acemoglu; Simon Johnson; James A. Robinson

Abstract: Botswana has had the highest rate of per capita growth of any country in the world in the last 35 years. This occurred despite adverse initial conditions, including minimal investment during the colonial period and high inequality. Botswana achieved this rapid development by following orthodox economic policies. How Botswana sustained these policies is a puzzle because typically in Africa, ?good economics? has proved not to be politically feasible. In this Paper we suggest that good policies were chosen in Botswana because good institutions, which we refer to as institutions of private property, were in place. Why did institutions of private property arise in Botswana, but not other African nations? We conjecture that the following factors were important. First, Botswana possessed relatively inclusive pre-colonial institutions, placing constraints on political elites. Second, the effect of British colonialism on Botswana was minimal, and did not destroy these institutions. Third, following independence, maintaining and strengthening institutions of private property were in the economic interests of the elite. Fourth, Botswana is very rich in diamonds, which created enough rents that no group wanted to challenge the status quo at the expense of ?rocking the boat?. Finally, we emphasize that this situation was reinforced by a number of critical decisions made by the post-independence leaders, particularly Presidents Khama and Masire.

Keywords: Africa; Development; Institutions; Political Economy

JEL Codes: H10; O10; O50


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Inclusive precolonial institutions (O17)Better governance (H11)
Minimal disruption from British colonialism (F54)Persistence of inclusive precolonial institutions (O17)
Economic interests of the elite (P19)Maintenance of good institutions (O43)
Diamond wealth (L72)Disincentivization of conflict over resources (Q34)
Good institutions (O43)Economic success (P17)

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