Evaluating Style Analysis

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3181

Authors: Frans Adrianus de Roon; Theo E. Nijman; Jenke ter Horst

Abstract: In this Paper we evaluate (return based) style analysis. The portfolio and positivity constraints imposed by style analysis are useful in constructing mimicking factor portfolios without short positions. We use a simple simulation experiment to show that imposing these constraints in estimating the factor portfolios leads to significant efficiency gains, if the factor loadings are indeed positively weighted portfolios. If this is not the case though, imposing the constraints can substantially bias the exposure estimates. We also show that the actual portfolio holdings will in general not reveal the actual investment style of a fund because of cross exposures between the asset classes, and because fund managers may hold securities that on average do not have a beta of one relative to their own asset class. Style analysis may be used to determine a benchmark portfolio for performance measurement. If the actual exposures are a positively weighted portfolio and if the risk free rate is one of the benchmarks, then the intercept coincides with the Jensen measure. In general, the intercept in the style regression can only be interpreted as a special case of the familiar Jensen measure.

Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Portfolio Choice; Style Analysis

JEL Codes: G11; G12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
imposing portfolio and positivity constraints in style analysis (C51)significant efficiency gains in constructing mimicking factor portfolios (G11)
imposing portfolio and positivity constraints when factor loadings are not positively weighted (C51)substantial bias in exposure estimates (C83)
cross-exposures between asset classes (G19)obscuring relationship between portfolio constraints and investment style (G11)

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