Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market and Transition Economies: Lessons After a Decade

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3074

Authors: Jeffrey D. Amato; Stefan Gerlach

Abstract: Starting in the early 1990s, several emerging market and transition economies (EMEs) have adopted inflation targeting (IT). In this Paper we discuss a number of issues that arise in this context: (a) the definition of IT, (b) the role of preconditions for IT, (c) the use of intermediate exchange rate targets and (d) the specification of inflation targets. Our overall conclusion is that, suitably modified, IT is a useful policy strategy for EMEs.

Keywords: central banks; inflation targeting; monetary policy

JEL Codes: E42; E50; E58


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
adoption of IT (L86)better inflation control (E31)
adoption of IT (L86)price stability (E31)
preconditions (C62)successful IT adoption (L86)
exchange rate policies (F31)effectiveness of IT (L86)
credibility of central bank (E58)better inflation outcomes (E31)

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