On the Evolution of the Firm Size Distribution: Facts and Theory

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP3045

Authors: Lus M B Cabral; Jos Mata

Abstract: Using a comprehensive data set of Portuguese manufacturing firms, we show that the firm size distribution is significantly right-skewed, evolving over time toward a log-normal distribution. We also show that selection accounts for very little of this evolution. Instead, we propose a simple theory based on financing constraint. A calibrated version of our model does a good job at explaining the evolution of the firm size distribution.

Keywords: Financing Constraints; Firm Growth; Firm Size Distribution

JEL Codes: L00


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
firm age (L10)size distribution (D39)
financing constraints (G32)firm growth (L26)
firm age (L10)initial size (Y20)
education (I29)firm size (L25)
financing constraints (G32)optimal size (L25)
initial size (Y20)size distribution (D39)

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