Regional Underdevelopment: Is FDI the Solution? A Semiparametric Analysis

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2995

Authors: Sourafel Girma; Katharine Wakelin

Abstract: In this Paper we aim to examine the regional impact of foreign-owned establishments on the performance of domestic establishments in the electronics industry in the UK. We use establishment-level data taken from the UK Census of Production (the ARD) to this end. In the econometric specification, we allow for the time-varying endogeneity of the factors of production function, and correct for the sample-selection bias generated by plants with larger capital stocks surviving in spite of lower productivity realisations. The FDI spillover literature has so far abstracted from the selection problem generated by plant exit. To our knowledge, this is the first Paper that simultaneously attempts to correct the production parameter estimates for selectivity induced by plant exit as well as time-varying endogeneity (the ?not so fixed? effect), before identifying the impact of foreign direct investment on domestic plant?s productivity. The results indicate that positive spillovers exist but are mostly confined to the region in which the MNE locates. A number of characteristics influence their level, they are higher from non-US firms (in particular Japanese firms) and in more-developed regions.

Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Production Functions; Regional Development; Spillovers

JEL Codes: C14; F23; R58


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Japanese FDI (F23)domestic productivity (O49)
US FDI (F23)domestic productivity (O49)
foreign-owned firms (F23)domestic establishments in same region and sector (R20)
higher skill levels (J24)domestic productivity (O49)
smaller size (L25)domestic productivity (O49)
assisted areas (R38)higher level of Japanese FDI required for productivity gains (F23)

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