Learning about Migration Decisions from the Migrants: Using Complementary Data Sets to Model Intraregional Migrations in Spain

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2746

Authors: Olympia Bover; Manuel Arellano

Abstract: We investigate the determinants of the remarkable increase in intra-regional migrations since the 1980?s in Spain, using a large administrative micro dataset on migrants. Conditional migration probabilities are identified by comparing the migrants? joint distribution of characteristics to the corresponding distribution from the Spanish Labour Force Survey. The proportion of employment in the service industry, unemployment, house prices and education all have an important positive effect on the individual probabilities of intra-regional migration.

Keywords: employment in services; endogenous sampling; intraregional migration

JEL Codes: C25; J60; J61


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
employment in the service industry (L84)probability of short-distance moves (C69)
house prices (R31)within-region migration (R23)
unemployment (J64)migration responses (J61)
share of employment in services (L84)migration responses (J61)

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