Cross-Country Technology Diffusion: The Case of Computers

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2744

Authors: Francesco Caselli; Wilbur John Coleman II

Abstract: We use data on imports of computer equipment for a large sample of countries between 1970-90 to investigate the determinants of computer-technology adoption. We find strong evidence that computer adoption is associated with higher levels of human capital and with manufacturing trade openness vis-à-vis the OECD. We also find evidence that computer adoption is enhanced by high investment rates, good property rights protection, and a small share of agriculture in GDP. Finally, there is some evidence that adoption is reduced by a large share of government in GDP, and increased by a large share of manufacturing. After controlling for the above-mentioned variables, we do not find an independent role for the English- (or European-) language skills of the population.

Keywords: computers; diffusion; human capital; knowledge externalities

JEL Codes: E10; O30; O40


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Higher levels of human capital (J24)Computer adoption (L63)
Manufacturing trade openness (F14)Computer adoption (L63)
Good property rights protection (P14)Computer adoption (L63)
High share of government spending in GDP (H59)Lower computer adoption (L63)
Higher levels of human capital (J24)Computer investment per worker (E22)
Manufacturing trade openness (F14)Computer investment per worker (E22)
Good property rights protection (P14)Computer investment per worker (E22)
High share of government spending in GDP (H59)Computer investment per worker (E22)

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