Budget Processes: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2661

Authors: Karl-Martin Ehrhart; Roy Gardner; Jürgen von Hagen; Claudia Keser

Abstract: This Paper studies budget processes, both theoretically and experimentally. We compare the outcomes of bottom-up and top-down budget processes. It is often presumed that a top-down budget process leads to a smaller overall budget than a bottom-up budget process. We show, using structurally induced equilibrium theory, that this need not be the case. To test the implications for budget processes of structurally induced equilibrium theory, we conduct a series of experiments. The evidence from these experiments supports the predictions of structurally induced equilibrium theory, both at the aggregate and at the individual subject level.

Keywords: budget processes; experimental economics; structurally induced equilibrium

JEL Codes: C92; D71; H61


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
top-down budget process (H61)smaller overall budget (H60)
bottom-up budget process (H61)larger overall budget (H61)
voter preferences (K16)budget process outcomes (H61)
complexity in decision-making (D91)number of periods needed to finalize decisions (D79)
number of spending categories (G50)complexity in decision-making (D91)
incomplete information (D89)complexity in decision-making (D91)
budget process structure (H61)budget outcomes (H68)
rationality of voters (D72)budget process outcomes (H61)

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