Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2596
Authors: Joop Hartog; Rainer Winkelmann
Abstract: We analyse postwar Dutch migration to New Zealand. We document that history, reflect on analytical and econometric modelling and then combine a sample of Dutch migrants in New Zealand with a representative sample of Dutch in The Netherlands to estimate wage equations simultaneously with the migration decision. We use the results for ex post evaluation of the migration decision.
Keywords: Dutch emigration; Labour market; Self-selection; New Zealand immigration
JEL Codes: F22; J61
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Dutch migrants in New Zealand (J61) | labor market outcomes resembling those of native New Zealanders (J79) |
| Dutch migrants in New Zealand (J61) | work longer hours (J29) |
| Dutch migrants in New Zealand (J61) | more likely to be self-employed (L26) |
| Dutch migrants in New Zealand (J61) | lower unemployment risks (J65) |
| initial economic advantage (D43) | lifetime earnings for typical migrant 25% lower than anticipated (J61) |
| lifetime earnings in New Zealand (J17) | 80% higher than in the Netherlands (Y10) |
| higher unemployment in the Netherlands (J60) | stimulates emigration (F22) |
| higher relative income in New Zealand (D31) | encourages migration (F22) |