Subjective Discount Factors

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2503

Authors: Erzo G. J. Luttmer; Thomas Mariotti

Abstract: This paper describes the equilibrium of a discrete-time exchange economy in which consumers with arbitrary subjective discount factors and quasi-homothetic period utility functions follow linear Markov consumption and portfolio strategies. Explicit expressions are given for state prices and consumption-wealth ratios. If utility is logarithmic or endowment growth is i.i.d., then this economy is observationally equivalent to one in which consumers discount geometrically. We provide analytically convenient continuous-time approximations and examine the effects of non-geometric subjective discount factors in an economy in which log endowments are subject to temporary and permanent shocks that are governed by a Feller (1951) square-root process. Hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discount factors can significantly increase the volatility of aggregate wealth and raise the expected excess return on aggregate wealth.

Keywords: asset pricing; consumption-wealth ratios; general equilibrium; hyperbolic discounting; volatility

JEL Codes: D50; D91; G12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
subjective discount factors (D15)volatility of aggregate wealth (E21)
subjective discount factors (D15)expected excess return on aggregate wealth (E21)
inability of consumers to commit (D10)strategic decision-making (D70)
strategic decision-making (D70)market outcomes (P42)
long-lived assets (D25)existence of competitive equilibrium (D50)

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