Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP242
Authors: Cormac O Grada
Abstract: The contrasting tariff regimes of Northern and Southern Ireland after 1932 must have influenced industrial structure and specialization. Can a comparison of Northern and Southern data from the 1960s, just before the South began to opt for trade liberalization again, 'reveal' the damage done by protection? Here it is argued, using a time-series approach, that it cannot.
Keywords: economic history; commercial policy; ireland
JEL Codes: 044; 422
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| High tariffs in the South after 1932 (N62) | Distortion in manufacturing output (D20) |
| High tariffs in the South after 1932 (N62) | Decreased export ratios (F14) |
| Protectionism in the South (F13) | Distortion in manufacturing output (D20) |
| Northern Ireland's economy being more open (F43) | Higher ratio of exports to gross manufacturing output (F10) |