Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2268
Authors: Louise Grogan; Gerard J. van den Berg
Abstract: This paper uses longitudinal survey data to assess factors affecting the duration of unemployment in Russia. We examine four types of marginalised labour force participants, according to ILO guidelines and survey responses, and we estimate duration models for each type. It turns out that the sets of characteristics with the strongest effects on the duration are remarkably similar across the different unemployment definitions and model specifications. Therefore, despite the formidable practical measurement problems, problematic groups of individuals can actually be identified.
Keywords: unemployment; definition; duration models; Russia
JEL Codes: J4; J6; P2
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| education (I29) | unemployment duration (J64) |
| marital status (J12) | unemployment duration (J64) |
| residing in Moscow and St. Petersburg (R23) | unemployment duration (J64) |
| expiry of severance pay benefits (J65) | exit hazards (J28) |