Multinationals, Endogenous Growth, and Technological Spillovers: Theory and Evidence

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2155

Authors: Richard E. Baldwin; Henrik Braconier; Rikard Forslid

Abstract: FDI has received surprisingly little attention in theoretical and empirical work on openness and growth. This paper presents a theoretical growth model where MNCs directly affect the endogenous growth rate via technological spillovers. This is novel since other endogenous growth models with MNCs, e.g. the Grossman-Helpman model, assume away the knowledge-spillovers aspect of FDI. We also present econometric evidence (using industry-level data from seven OECD nations) that broadly supports the model. Specifically, we find industry-level scale effects and international knowledge spillovers that are unrelated to FDI, but we also find that bilateral spillovers are boosted by bilateral FDI.

Keywords: multinationals; spillovers; endogenous growth; technology transfer

JEL Codes: F1; F2; F23; F43; O4


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
MNCs (F23)endogenous growth rate (O40)
FDI (F23)productivity growth (O49)
MNCs (F23)technology spillovers (O33)
FDI (F23)technology transfer (O33)
bilateral FDI (F23)knowledge spillovers (O36)
MNCs (F23)productivity in host countries (O57)
larger industries (L69)benefit from FDI-related spillovers (F23)

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