The Evolution of Price Dispersion in the European Car Market

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP2029

Authors: Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg; Frank Verboven

Abstract: Car prices in Europe are characterized by large and persistent differences across countries. The purpose of this paper is to document and explain this price dispersion. Using a panel data set extending from 1980 to 1993, two main facts concerning car prices in Europe are demonstrated: (1) the existence of significant differences in quality adjusted prices across countries, with Italy and the United Kingdom systematically representing the most expensive markets; (2) substantial year-to-year volatility that is, to a large extent, accounted for by exchange rate fluctuations and the incomplete response of local currency prices to these fluctuations. These facts are analysed within the framework of a multi-product oligopoly model with product differentiation. The model identifies three potential sources for the international price differences: price elasticities generating differences in mark-ups; costs; and import quota constraints. Based on the results we conjecture that EMU will substantially reduce the year-to-year volatility observed in the car price data, but without further measures to increase European integration, it will not completely eliminate existing cross-country price differences.

Keywords: price dispersion; European car market; oligopoly; incomplete rate passthrough

JEL Codes: F12; F15; L1; L13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
exchange rate fluctuations (F31)year-to-year volatility in car prices (E32)
incomplete response of local currency prices to exchange rate fluctuations (F31)year-to-year volatility in car prices (E32)
local price stability (P22)local components in marginal costs or markup adjustments (D40)
exchange rate volatility (F31)local price stability (P22)
price elasticities, costs, and import quota constraints (F14)international price differences (F16)
domestic brand bias in Italy (L66)higher markups (D49)
European Monetary Union (EMU) (F36)year-to-year volatility (E32)
European Monetary Union (EMU) (F36)cross-country price differences (P22)

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