Determinants of International Migration: Empirical Evidence for Migration from Developing Countries to Germany

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP1920

Authors: Ralph Rotte; Michael Vogler

Abstract: By means of a descriptive survey of theoretical literature we first work out the potential determinants that may drive international migration from developing to developed countries. In addition, we look at the relationship between trade, development and migration. Empirical studies focusing on international migration from Less Developed Countries (LDCs) are, so far, very scarce. In this paper, we utilize a new dataset that is based on migration to Germany from 86 African and Asian countries. Information is available on overall moves (1981?95) and asylum migration (1984?95). The estimation results confirm the importance of the economic differential between countries for migration; the existence of an inverse u-shaped relationship between development and migration; the importance of the political situation in the sending countries; and the significance of network effects.

Keywords: migration; international migration; developing countries

JEL Codes: F22


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
economic differentials (D30)migration decisions (F22)
development (O39)migration (F22)
migration (F22)development (O39)
political situation in sending countries (F24)migration patterns (F22)
political terror (P26)asylum migration (F22)
network effects (D85)migration (F22)
trade relations (F10)asylum migration (F22)

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