The Long Goodbye: The Economic Effects of Early Parental Death

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18475

Authors: Giacomo De Giorgi; Battista Severgnini; Mauricio Prado

Abstract: Early life events are crucial determinants of individual life trajectories and long- term outcomes. Parental death is one of the most traumatic one, with potential irreversible consequences on a child development and hence a large contributor to inequality in adulthood. Using Danish administrative data, we estimate that the accidental death of a parent when the offspring is younger than 28 years of age has substantial negative effects on permanent income, and in particular for sons. The timing of death is also important, with effects that are typically larger for earlier deaths, i.e., those occurring in the first 1,000 days of life or by age 6. On average, we find a fall of 6% on permanent income, larger for sons at 8%, and, in the case of maternal death between the ages of 2 and 6, the effect is up to 21% and up to 30% if both parents die. When examining the reasons behind these detrimental effects, we uncover evidence supporting a range of negative impacts on children’s human capital development, such as diminished educational attainments, increased mental health challenges, and a penalizing geographical mobility.

Keywords: early childhood; income mobility; mobility; mental health

JEL Codes: J17; J24


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Parental death in the first 1000 days of life (J17)Permanent income (D15)
Parental death in the first 1000 days of life (J17)Lower educational attainment (I24)
Parental death in the first 1000 days of life (J17)Mental health deterioration (I12)
Parental death in the first 1000 days of life (J17)Geographical mobility (J62)
Parental death (J12)Permanent income (D15)
Parental death (J12)Educational attainment (I21)
Parental death (J12)Mental health issues (I12)
Parental death (J12)Geographical mobility (J62)

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