Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18351
Authors: Asli Demirgüç-Kunt; Balint Horvath; Harry Huizinga
Abstract: Using new data from the European Banking Authority on loan recovery outcomes, we examine how variation in loan recovery efficiency affects the transmission of financial sector and overall economic weakness to firm-level financial and real outcomes. We find that firms linked to under-capitalized banks experience higher debt, employment, and sales growth rates, if they are located in countries with less efficient loan recoveries. Furthermore, during economic downturns zombie firms - insolvent firms that continue to receive credit - achieve higher debt, employment and sales growth, and fewer defaults if they are resident in such countries. Overall, we find that less efficient loan enforcement mitigates the transmission of financial sector and economic weakness to firm-level outcomes. This stabilizing effect, however, is likely to come at the cost of significant distortions documented in earlier literature.
Keywords: Zombie Firm
JEL Codes: E32; G21
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| bank capitalization (G21) | firm debt growth (G32) |
| loan enforcement efficiency (G21) | firm debt growth (G32) |
| economic downturns (F44) | zombie firms' performance (L25) |
| loan enforcement efficiency (G21) | zombie firms' debt growth (G32) |
| loan enforcement efficiency (G21) | zombie firms' employment growth (J60) |
| loan enforcement efficiency (G21) | zombie firms' sales growth (L25) |
| inefficient loan recovery (G33) | non-zombie firms' performance (L25) |