I Don't Owe You: Sovereign Default and Borrowing Behavior

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18300

Authors: Dimitris Georgarakos; Alexander Popov

Abstract: Using microdata from a U.S. household survey, we document that immigrants who lived through a sovereign default episode are 6\% less likely to hold debt relative to otherwise similar immigrants who reside in the same U.S. state and come from the same foreign country but who did not experience a default. Conditional on holding debt, consumers in the former group borrow less and service lower debt burdens. The negative effect on borrowing behavior of having experienced a sovereign default increases with family size and declines with education. These findings highlight the role of personal experience in shaping households' financial decisions.

Keywords: sovereign default; household borrowing; experiences; immigrants

JEL Codes: D83; G11; G51; H63


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Sovereign default (F34)Borrowing behavior (G51)
Sovereign default (F34)Indebtedness (F34)
Family size (J12)Borrowing behavior (G51)
Education level (I21)Borrowing behavior (G51)
Sovereign default (F34)Debt burden (H63)
Sovereign default (F34)Secured and unsecured debt (F34)

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