VAT Passthrough and Competition: Evidence from the Greek Islands

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18179

Authors: Lydia Dimitrakopoulou; Christos Genakos; Themistoklis Kampouris; Stella Papadokonstantaki

Abstract: We examine how competition affects VAT pass-through in isolated oligopolistic markets as defined by the Greek islands. Using daily gasoline prices and a difference-in-differences methodology, we investigate how changes in VAT rates are passed through to consumers in islands with different market structure. We show that pass-through increases with competition, going from 50% in monopoly to around 80% in more competitive markets, but remains incomplete. We also discover a rapid rate of adjustment for VAT changes, as well as a positive relationship between competition and the rate of price adjustment. Finally, we document higher pass-through for products with more inelastic demand.

Keywords: Passthrough; Tax incidence; Gasoline; Value Added Tax; VAT; Market structure; Competition; Greek Islands

JEL Codes: H22; L1


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
VAT changes (H25)gasoline prices (L90)
competition (L13)VAT passthrough (H25)
competition (L13)rate of price adjustment for VAT changes (H25)
demand elasticity (D12)VAT passthrough (H25)

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