Inflation Distorts Relative Prices: Theory and Evidence

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18088

Authors: Klaus Adam; Andrey Alexandrov; Henning Weber

Abstract: Using a novel identification approach derived from sticky price theories with time or state-dependent adjustment frictions, we empirically identify the effect of inflation on relative price distortions. Our approach can be directly applied to micro price data, does not rely on estimating the gap between actual and flexible prices, and only assumes stationarity of unobserved shocks. Using U.K. CPI micro price data, we document that suboptimally high (or low) inflation is associated with distortions in relative prices that are highly statistically significant. At the aggregate level, fluctuations in inefficient price dispersion are sizable and covary positively with aggregate inflation. In contrast, overall price dispersion fails to covary with inflation because it is mainly driven by trends in the dispersion of flexible prices.

Keywords: Inflation

JEL Codes: E31; E58


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
inflation (E31)relative price distortions (P22)
fluctuations in inefficient price dispersion (D43)aggregate inflation (E31)
higher inflation rates (E31)price distortions (L11)
suboptimal inflation (E31)observed price distortions (P22)

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