Market Size and Trade in Medical Services

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP18029

Authors: Jonathan Dingel; Joshua Gottlieb; Maya Lozinski; Pauline Mourot

Abstract: We measure the importance of increasing returns to scale and trade in medical services. Using Medicare claims data, we document that “imported” medical care — services produced by a medical provider in a different region — constitute about one-fifth of US healthcare consumption. Larger regions specialize in producing less common procedures, which are traded more. These patterns reflect economies of scale:  larger regions produce higher-quality services because they serve more patients. Because of increasing returns and trade costs, policies to improve access to care face a proximity-concentration tradeoff. Production subsidies and travel subsidies can impose contrasting spillovers on neighboring regions.

Keywords: Healthcare; Market Access; Medical Practice; Trade in Services

JEL Codes: F12; F14; I11; R12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Production subsidies (H23)Contrasting effects on neighboring regions (R11)
Travel subsidies (H23)Contrasting effects on neighboring regions (R11)
Local increasing returns and trade costs (F12)Spatial patterns of healthcare (I11)
Larger regions (R12)Higher-quality services (L15)
Larger regions (R12)Stronger home market effect (R21)
Larger markets (D40)Higher-quality services due to economies of scale (H49)
10% increase in demand (R22)6% increase in service quality (L15)
Increase in population (J11)Disproportionate increase in exports of medical services (I11)
Larger residential population (R23)Increased exports of medical care (I11)

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