Born to be Subprime: An Exploratory Analysis

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17847

Authors: Helena Bach; Pietro Campa; Giacomo De Giorgi; Jaromir Nosal; Davide Pietrobon

Abstract: We study how inheriting parents’ credit histories affects credit scores and access to credit of young individuals entering the credit market, and their subsequent experiences in the credit market. First, having an inherited credit history significantly positively affects credit scores at entry. Second, initial credit scores are very persistent. Third, inherited credit histories only affect outcomes through the initial credit score distribution. Finally, initial credit scores have significant persistent effects on credit use and access, such as having a mortgage or credit card penetration and utilization rate. Our results point to the importance of initial conditions in credit markets and are consistent with mechanisms based on multiplicity of equilibria and self-fulfilling liquidity traps in which lack of access to credit due to low credit scores re-affirms the low credit score ranking of an individual.

Keywords: credit; persistence; intergenerational mobility

JEL Codes: E5; D63; J62


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Inherited Credit History (G51)Initial Credit Score (G51)
Initial Credit Score (G51)Credit Use and Access (G51)
Inherited Credit History (G51)Credit Use and Access (G51)
Initial Credit Score (G51)Initial Credit Score (Persistence) (G51)

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