The Lions Share: Evidence from Federal Contracts on the Value of Political Connections

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17708

Authors: Enay Aca; Deniz Igan

Abstract: We examine the role of political connections in receiving federal funds during an unexpected surge in government defense spending. While the data do not allow identification of a causal link, the analysis uncovers that politically connected firms were awarded larger amounts in federal contracts when available funds increased. Specifically, firms that lobbied received around one third more in the amount of defense contracts compared to those that did not lobby. Similar evidence holds for campaign contributions and board connections. The increase in the amount of contracts obtained is observed primarily for firms that had limited ability to efficiently support Pentagon efforts, and when contracts received less scrutiny. Between political connections and merit-based channels in government contracting, the results mainly, but not exclusively, support the first channel.

Keywords: Lobbying; Campaign Contributions; Political Connections; Government Spending; Procurement; Federal Contracts

JEL Codes: D72; G38; H57; H61; P16


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
politically connected firms (G38)larger amounts in defense contracts (H56)
lobbying (D72)larger amounts in defense contracts (H56)
campaign contributions (K16)increased contract amounts (D86)
board connections to the Pentagon (H56)increased contract amounts (D86)
political connections (D72)contract amounts awarded (K12)

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