Does Demography Determine Democratic Attitudes?

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17624

Authors: Uwe Sunde; Rainer Kotschy

Abstract: This paper presents new evidence on how demography affects democratic attitudes in Western democracies. Using individual survey responses, the empirical analysis disentangles age from cohort patterns and other contemporaneous economic and political influences that shape democratic attitudes. The results reveal that support for democracy increases with age and is lower for more recent birth cohorts. These patterns are more pronounced in Western democracies than in the former Eastern bloc and in other countries around the world. Additional findings document that demography’s effect partly captures heterogeneity in experiences with democracy, and that socioeconomic factors impact democratic attitudes.

Keywords: Support for democracy; Population ageing; Demographic composition; Stability of democracy; Modernization hypothesis

JEL Codes: D72; O17; O43; P48


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
age (J14)democratic attitudes (D72)
millennials (D16)democratic attitudes (D72)
democratic capital (P16)democratic attitudes (D72)
demographic factors (J11)democratic attitudes (D72)

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