A Shot at Economic Prosperity: Long-term Effects of India's Childhood Immunization Program on Earnings and Consumption Expenditure

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17386

Authors: Amit Summan; Arindam Nandi; David Bloom

Abstract: Routine childhood vaccinations are among the most cost-effective interventions. In recent years, the broader benefits of vaccines, which include improved cognitive and schooling outcomes, have also been established. This paper evaluates the long-term economic benefits of India’s national program of childhood vaccinations, known as the Universal Immunization Programme (UIP). We combine individual-level data from the 68th round of the National Sample Survey of India (2011–2012) with district-wise data on the rollout of UIP in 1985–1990. We employ age-district fixed effects regression models to compare the earnings and per capita household consumer spending of 21- to 26-year-old adults who were born in UIP-covered districts vis-à-vis non-UIP districts in 1985–1990. We find that exposure to UIP in infancy increases weekly wages by 13.8% (95% CI: 7.6% to 20.3%, p

Keywords: India; Child Immunization; Health; Wages

JEL Codes: I15; I18; J31; J38


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
UIP exposure in infancy (I12)weekly wages (J31)
UIP exposure in infancy (I12)monthly per capita household consumption expenditure (D12)
UIP exposure in infancy (I12)likelihood of households primarily supported by agriculture (Q12)
UIP exposure (J65)economic outcomes (F61)

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